A reader who wishes to be anonymous writes in with the following question:
I heard your paper referenced in the Carroll vs Craig debate, attempted to read it, then looked you up and found your blog (which I really like!!). I’m fascinated by the origin of the universe and think it is a great argument for a creator. I have a question I’m hoping you can help me with, or better yet, do a blog post on so I have something to reference!
Frequently when I debate an atheist online, they will bring up the argument that the net energy of the universe is zero and so the First Law of Thermodynamics was not violated at the origin of the universe since energy was still conserved. As they explain it, the positive energy of matter is countered by the negative energy of gravity. Our universe formed from a freak quantum fluctuation and is the ultimate free lunch. I understand this at a very simple level, but what I do not understand is how a zero-energy universe matches what we observe. If matter only makes up ~5% of the universe, 30% if you include dark matter, then how does the universe have a net energy balance of zero if 70% of it is dark energy pushing the universe apart through repulsive gravity? It seems the expansion of the universe indicates a net positive energy. Could you please give a simple layperson explanation for why folks like Hawking, Krauss, Guth, etc claim the universe has a net energy of zero? It feels like there is a slight-of-hand going on and dark energy is being excluded, but I don’t know enough or have any sources to point to that say otherwise.
Dear Reader, thanks for your question. I notice there's an interesting inversion here from the Carroll-Craig debate. In that debate, St. Craig was trying to argue that the universe had a beginning, and Carroll was trying to outmaneuver him with the "Quantum Eternity Theorem", saying that the universe couldn't have begun unless its total energy is zero. He then opened himself up to the retort that the energy probably is zero.
On the other hand, in your debate, it's the atheist who seems to be championing the position that the energy of the universe is zero. Presumably this is because he wants to say that the universe emerged from a Nothing somewhat like the one Krauss' has in mind (though all this talk of Nothing doing things as if it were Something keeps reminding me of "The Nothing" in The Neverending Story...) and therefore `no room for a Creator' etc. In this case the theist might argue that Energy Conservation makes this impossible (absent a miracle), opening herself up to the retort that the energy probably is zero.
So perhaps if you and Craig were locked in a room together, you might discuss whether a physics-type beginning of the universe is helpful or unhelpful, when arguing for Theism. Alternatively, there could be a Krauss-Carroll debate about whether there's less "room" for a Creator with or without a beginning of time (both of them granting that the idea is absurd either way). One could more or less construct such a debate just from their remarks directed against Theism already linked to on this blog. Carroll could argue that in models like Aguirre-Grattan:
There is no room in such a conception [an eternal universe with the entropy lowest in the middle] for God to have brought the universe into existence at any one moment.
and Krauss could respond that:
It has become clear that not only can our universe naturally arise from nothing, without supernatural shenanigans, but that it probably did.
and Carroll could retort that:
That is not what the universe does even in models where the universe has a beginning, a first moment. Because the verb popping, the verb to pop, has a temporal connotation, is the word I'm looking for. It sounds as if you waited a while, and then, pop, there was the universe. But that's exactly wrong. The correct statement is that there are models that are complete and consistent in which there is a first moment of time. That is not the same as to say there was some process by which the universe popped into being.
Apologies to Krauss and Carroll for wrenching their remarks totally out of context, but I believe I have not done any violence to their actual views. If you'd rather see what the real Carroll actually said about Krauss' conception, you can find that on his blog here.
But that wasn't your question. Setting aside which team benefits more from it, what does physics say about whether the energy is zero?
As I said when discussing the "Quantum Eternity Theorem", there are lots of different concepts of energy in General Relativity, and even the experts sometimes find the relationships between them tricky to think about. It's no wonder laypeople get confused when the "experts" make definitive sounding pronouncements about the subject. If the energy at every point in the universe is positive, how could it possibly be true that the total adds to zero?
Well, the ``simple layperson'' explanation is that in cosmology, there's contributions to the energy both from 1) matter (baryons, dark matter, dark energy, etc.) and 2) from spacetime, stored in the gravitational fields. There's a notion of energy density where you only count category #1, and then the energy density is positive. But this notion isn't very useful for discussing things like energy conservation, since it isn't conserved in situations where space is changing with time (e.g. expanding). There's another notion where we count both #1 and #2, and then it turns out that the contribution from #2 is negative and (in a finite sized "closed" universe) the total is zero.
That's the best I can do without launching into technicalities. But I can't resist trying to say more about the real story, even if what follows may not really count as a simple layperson explanation.
Perhaps it would be easiest to explain if we start with a theory that's simpler than GR. GR is in many ways quite similar to an easier theory of physics, namely Maxwell's equations. Like the gravitational field, the electromagnetic field is sourced by a particular type of matter. Gravitational fields are produced by the flow of energy and momentum through a spacetime, while electric and magnetic fields are produced by the flow of charge.
Let's just think focus on one of the Maxwell equations right now, the Gauss Law. This is a special type of Law of Physics called a constraint. That means, instead of telling you how things change with time, it places restrictions on what is allowed to be the case at a single moment of time.
The Gauss Law is written in equations like this:

Here

is the electric field vector at any given point, and

is the
rate at which charge is flowing through time at a given point. Which is a really fancy way of saying, the charge density.

means

, where

means taking the derivative with respect to the

-th spatial coordinate.
But maybe you hate equations: if so you are in good company. When I was at St. John's College we read a funny letter in which St. Faraday wrote to St. Maxwell, saying that he loved his work, but why did he have to write it using math? St. Faraday, you see, lived in the time where you could still be a respectable scientist and explain everything using words. Very carefully chosen words, expressing precise quantitative relationships.
Anyway, Faraday figured out this brilliant way to visualize the Gauss Law, which we still use as a crutch today. Instead of thinking of
as a vector, you can think of it as a density of electric field lines passing through a point. The direction of the vector says which direction the lines are going in, and the magnitude says how many there are. I'm sure you've seen electric and magnetic field lines before, but if not, here are some pretty pictures on Google.
The Gauss Law says that electric field lines can only begin or end on charges. The number of electric field lines coming out of (into) a charge, is proportional to the positive (negative) charge of the particle. (We say "number" to make it easy to visualize, but in fact the field lines form a continuum.)
This means that if you have a region of space
, you can do a census of the total charge in that region, simply by measuring the total amount of electric field lines coming into or out of that region. One can write this as an equation too:

Here

is the total charge inside the region

,

is fancy-schmancy notation for the boundary of

,

is the number of electric field lines poking out
per unit area, and

tells you to integrate that over the whole area to get the total number of electric field lines poking out. (Faraday would have said, why work so hard to invent these silly symbols when you could just say "count the number of electric field lines poking out"?) We physicists call an integral like this a
boundary term, because—go figure—it's the integral over a
boundary of a region.
We are now in a position to appreciate the following interesting truth. Suppose the universe is closed. (That means, finite in size but without any boundary. For example, space at one time could be shaped like a giant hypersphere; as we all know a sphere is finite in size but has no end. Or like one of those video games where if you go off the edge of the screen on one side, you "wrap around" and appear on the other side, so that there isn't really an edge there.) In a closed universe, the total electric charge is always EXACTLY ZERO.
If you're Faraday, that's because each electric field line has to either circle around in loops, or else begin on a positive charge and end on a negative charge. So everything has to balance out. If you're Maxwell, it's because if you take the region
to be the whole universe, then
is the empty set, and so the Gauss Law just says
.
This doesn't necessarily have to be true if space is infinitely big. You could just have a single electric charge sitting in infinite empty space, and this would be OK because the field lines beginning at the charge would go out to infinity, so they don't need another endpoint.
Now what about GR? It turns out that things work in a very similar way, only using energy instead of charge. If the universe were a single star or a galaxy sitting in an otherwise empty infinite space, then the gravitational ``field lines'' coming out of the mass extend out to infinity. This allows the total "ADM" energy of the spacetime to be nonzero. In fact, there is a Positive Energy Theorem in GR which says that, for reasonable types of matter, this energy is always positive for any state besides the vacuum (which has 0 energy).
On the other hand, if the universe is closed, then the total energy is zero because there's no boundary for gravitational field lines to go off to. But how can this be, when the cosmologists tell us that the universe consists of about 5% ordinary matter, about 25% dark matter and 70% dark energy, and each of these components of energy is positive?
(I hate the term ``dark energy'', by the way, since it makes people think it's related to dark matter. The two are nothing alike. Dark matter is just some other kind of stuff, which clumps into structures. The so-called dark energy is most likely just a cosmological constant, i.e. a constant positive energy density throughout all of space.)
To answer this, I need to remind you of how Einstein's equation of GR works. The Einstein equation says how energy and momentum lead to spacetime curvature. It can be written like this

The symbol

is called the
Einstein tensor; basically it's a
4x4 symmetric matrix which encodes certain properties of the curvature of spacetime. On the other hand,

is the stress-energy tensor of matter. This is also a 4x4 symmetric matrix, which encodes the rate at which momentum in the

-direction is flowing in the

-direction. (The

component, where both indices are chosen to be time, is just the energy density, since energy is momentum in the time direction.)
A key point here is that
only counts the energy and momentum in matter. It does not count the energy and momentum stored in the gravitational field (although by convention, these days most people include the cosmological constant or ``dark energy'' in
). When the cosmologists tell you about the "energy budget" of the universe, they are only really talking about
. They are ignoring the contribution from the gravitational field, which also contributes to the total energy of the universe. It turns out that in a closed universe, the gravitational part (due to
) counts negatively and this exactly cancels the matter contribution.
Defining the total energy of the universe is, as I said, quite tricky, since in the Hamiltonian formalism energy is related to time, and you have to make an arbitrary decision about what counts as the ``time'' direction. You have to decide this separately for every single point, so there's actually a lot of arbitrariness here. Once you've picked a time coordinate, if you want to evaluate the total energy on
slice
, the total energy
ends up being given by something like the following integral over the volume
of space:

(If you don't know about tensor notation, just don't worry about the fact that one of the t's moved upstairs. If you do, I've raised an index using the
inverse metric 
.) The boundary term is an integral

of something I'm not bothering to write down.
Now the t-t component of the Einstein equation, a.k.a. the Hamiltonian constraint, tells us that
. So the whole thing boils down to a boundary term, and in a closed universe that has to be zero. Thus, the ambiguity about time doesn't matter in the end, since "0" is conserved no matter what.