Category Archives: Ethics

Temptation

[rough notes pulled from an old note in my email]

I now see why, as a person progresses in virtue, they become subject to increasingly subtle temptations.

Actually it isn’t about virtue per se, but about achieving any great task.  There is a series of increasingly convincing counterfeits to the goal, and accepting any of them, or giving up, leads to losing the goal…

Why does Aristole think virtue is a noble and rare thing?  Almost anyone, who isn’t unlucky in their temperament, can achieve the “mean” along some trait, if this simply means being nearish the center of a normal distribution.

The difficulty arises when you need to get through a very tiny, and hard to find, door.  The only way, other than astonishing luck, is feedback from reality.  Something must tell you when you are getting “warmer” or “colder”.  Virtue is paying attention to this feedback, and adjusting your search accordingly.  (Actually the process can tolerate quite a bit of error as long as you keep checking which direction you need to go from here!)

Inventing a lightbulb.  First you have to want something weird that doesn’t yet exist.  Then you have to try a bunch of things that don’t work.  Because they don’t work, you have to eventually give up on ALL of these attempts, until you find the thing that does work.  But you can’t give up too early, or too late.

Failures (fatal errors):

– giving up on the task entirely
– never attempting a concretely testable idea
– NOT eventually giving up on any specific implementation that can’t work.

Failures (recoverable):

– spending too much time on a bad idea, or too little time on a good one.
– walking past the right idea without noticing it, as long as you don’t reject it forever.

This also operates on the meta level.  Feedback loops surrounding and regulating feedback loops.  You have to detect if you are trying an infinite series of ideas that can’t work, to break out of the cycle.  (But not too soon!)  You have to detect if your way of doing feedback is itself subtly wrong.

In general the opposite vices are: clinging to unreal greatness, vs settling for mediocrity.

Presumption vs Despair.

Need to have obstinacy with respect to the goal, but not with respect to the specific means to the goal.

Not everybody can invent a lightbulb.  Most people should give up!  (But not on whatever task they eventually find to do instead.)

Physics.  Crackpots cling to a “revolutionary” idea that doesn’t work.  Incremental researchers never try to do the great thing.  Genius will try out a sequence of increasingly promising ideas, right on the edge of being “crackpot”, but without clinging to any of them, and continually testing and refining their intuition about what works.  Until finally they get “lucky”.  It really happens because they tried a thousand things.  But the luck never finds those without skill in defeating temptation.  Again, natural talent is also required.

Those who never stop being students (in bad ways).

Those who never stop being students (in good ways).

Once an obviously great thing is discovered, things open up a bit.  Feedback from reality is still needed, but becomes much easier when the overall contours of what is correct have become clear.  Eventually the great inventor leaves the task to others and looks for a new project…

Does this also apply to other, more obvious temptations?  Avarice collects, but fails to appreciate the increasing pile of dead desires.  In contrast, a no longer desired lust raises questions about its purpose much more quickly…  phantasy vs biology.  We want different things in different ways.  Complete mental unity is not possible, only a dynamic search.  If your ideal of being virtuous is inherently impossible, don’t be surprised if you find yourself choosing vice instead.

Necessarily, religion is subject to similar temptations, as there are an enormous number of superstitious counterfeits to an authentic faith in God.

The agnostic who gives up on the search, but also the hypocrite who wants their concept of God to flatter their own ego.  The anxious fundamentalist who just wants a list of rules and safe beliefs, not seeing that God wants a change of heart that could never be accomplished by those means.  The sellout to worldly ambition, with a charade once a week, to appease the religious instinct.

In fact we are told salvation would be impossible, but for the fact that it is actually God who is seeking us.

To enter into any spiritual ministry is to increase the number of temptations.  This happens, not just because of opposition, but because of the nature of the task itself.  It simply is not enough to have an overall intention to seek the will of God, as if putting yourself on the right “team” suffices.  It is also needed for both character and methods to reflect the gospel of Christ.  In this case, loyalty requires obstinacy with respect to Christ’s chosen means as well as Christ’s ends.  (But, in a way that is still modulated to some degree by feedback.)

Those who confuse lust for the supernatural as love for God.  The fanatic with a persecution complex, who interprets himself being found annoying, as positive feedback that he is doing God’s will.  But also, the worldling who can’t bear to be unpopular.  The visionary, with a “message” from God, that might well be coming from their own brain noise.  The caring pastor, who comes to conflate success in ministry, with the will of God.  The pastor who thinks of “faith” as making reckless decisions about the congregation’s money and buildings, in light of a future “revival” that will justify his ministry (to the glory of God of course).

The pastor who only tells people what they want to hear.  The pastor who only tells people what they don’t want to hear.  The pastor who speaks the word when he should be listening for it.  The pastor who assumes everyone experiences temptation in the exact same way he does.

The three temptations of Christ.  (Or, the temptation of not trying to be like Christ at all.)  Mixing any political agenda whatsoever with the Gospel (except in rare cases, with fear and trembling).

To reject a path that includes temptation—thinking that this danger is the most important feature of the path—can itself be a serious temptation.  Because the goal of seeking the path is not to avoid temptation altogether.  The goal isn’t even to never succumb to temptation—as long as we are able to recover from it.  (Remember: feedback.)  The goal is to reach the goal.

Convertibility of Transcendentals

This post is more exploratory than something I am confident of.  The medieval scholastics had a concept called the “convertibility of transcendentals” (CoT), in which certain terms (e.g. “good”, “true”, “one”, “real”) are all in a certain sense interconvertible with each other.  In this post, I wish to explore the implications of this idea.

Sometimes we use the phrase “a good X” to mean an X that is more fully an X.  A good drawing of a circle is one which is more uniformly round (closer to being a perfect circle) than a sloppy circle is.  This depends on the prior judgement that you actually wanted the drawing to be a circle rather than something else (e.g. an oval, or an outline of a pumpkin).  That is one sense in which goodness might be considered subjective; yet it is not inconsistent with saying that when we see an object as good we are seeing something objectively true about it, nor does it commit us to saying that all ways of perceiving objects are equally fruitful and meaningful.

From a hypothetical imperative perspective, whenever you want an X as an X, then what you want is a good X, which is the same as a true X.  (Although we are more likely to say “good” when X-ness is a matter of degree, and more likely to say “true” when it is a yes/no question. In this linguistic sense, goodness is more subjective than truth.)  CoT takes this usage of the word “good” as being a clue about the nature of what is categorically good, i.e. that which we morally ought to want.

Scholastic definitions: Goodness is being, insofar as it is capable of being willed.  (Just as truth is being, insofar as it is capable of being known.)

CoT commits one to the surprising claim that everything that exists is good, simply because it exists, even though it does not deny that some things may, on top of that, also be (truly) bad.  (Linguistically, a true evil is an evil that really is evil; one could even call it a good example of an evil even though we would probably balk at calling it a good evil!)  More precisely and less paradoxically, each thing is a good X for some value of X, but this is compatible with it being both bad for itself under another (and more important) description Y, and also bad for other things in the universe; hence good for us to condemn, eliminate, or reform.

For example, a good thief is somebody that fully succeeds in being a thief.  (E.g. if you hire a thief but he gets caught and has to return the goods, he has failed to steal anything in the desired sense.)  In this respect:

good thief = true thief = real thief.

If we make a moral critique of theft (and we should) it can only be because by being a good thief, he thereby fails to be a good member of society, and thus also fails to fully actualize his nature as a human (a rational social animal), which is more essential to him than his nature as a thief.  Thus:

good thief => bad man = false man = fake man.

Sin is then, the fact that humans can act as if they were not humans.

Taken to the extreme, damnation is the possibility that by becoming permanently attached to sin, a human being could eventually cease to be human in some crucial respect, thus making happiness impossible for them (insofar as they cannot fully cease to be a sort of thing that can only be happy by being human, even as they fail to be human).

On the other hand, Heaven is the fulfilment of human personhood, which (in the Christian account of virtue) essentially includes union with the divine.  This is, among other things, a statement about the best (most good, most true) meaning of the word “person”, namely that personhood is a way of being in the divine image.

Persons have intellect and will.  CoT implies that these faculties are (or at least ought to be) in harmony.  Just as truth is the goodness of the intellect, so too, goodness is the truth of the will.  CoT thus puts reality in an essential relation to personhood.

The convertability of transcendentals, if true, makes Theism more plausible, and vice versa.  God is analogous to a person, in that he has something analogous to intellect and something analogous to will.  However, unlike us, his intellect just is truth, and his will just is goodness.  Also, in God these two faculties are the same as each other.  God is the only being that has existence in himself; in other words the only being that is completely a being.  Hence, by CoT, there is also a sense in which only God is good (cf. Mark 10:18).  Other beings are said to be good only insofar as God shares his being with them, which is creation.

To be created, is nothing more nor other nor different, then to be known by God (as other than God). To be created, is nothing more nor other nor different, then to be loved by God (as other than God).

A Naturalist is somebody who believes that reality (the Universe) is convertable with truth (“Science”), but that it is not convertable with goodness (“Fiat lux!”).  Naturalism in this sense makes it exactly half way towards Theism.  Therefore, Naturalism is only 50% true and 50% good.

Since persons have both intellect and will, a Naturalist is necessarily alienated from their own personhood, and internally divided against themselves.  If they allow their Naturalism to influence their self-image, then they will regard their morality as false (hence not really moral).  Alternatively, to the extent that they cannot allow their Naturalism to influence their self-image (and arguably humans are mentally incapable of fully accepting all the implications of Naturalism) then they regard what they take as true to be bad for their self.

Hence Naturalism is unavoidably bad for us, since it is incompatible with full human flourishing.  From the Theist perspective, this is a convincing intellectual (not just pragmatic!) argument that Naturalism is also false (since for the Theist the deepest reality is always good).

But from a Naturalist perspective, this doesn’t count as an argument that Naturalism is false.  Since the Naturalist believes that the deepest reality cares nothing for goodness, and hence there is no good reason why believing the truth cannot be bad for us.

Yet almost all Naturalists instinctively assume that if Naturalism is true, it must also be good to convince others it is true, and healthy for society to reject beliefs incompatible with it.  And indeed, if Naturalism were true, I believe it would be less bad to believe it than to believe a pious falsehood, even at the price of being divided against oneself.  Since “good” in reference to the intellect means “what the intellect seeks”, i.e. the true.  Also, a false belief cannot be a worthy foundation for society since a person with false beliefs will systematically act imprudently, in ways that are harmful to others (because their data is bad).  So I would want to believe Naturalism if it were true, although perhaps this only implies that even Naturalism wouldn’t be capable of causing me to stop believing in something that amounts to the CoT.

Some additonal linguistic evidence for CoT:

* English speakers use the words “right” and “wrong” to refer both to true/false and good/bad.

* We also use the word “belief” both to refer to thinking that something is true, and to our beliefs about morality.

The Unity of Virtue

In order to act righteously, it is necessary that you:

1. have given the matter sufficient thought* to reasonably conclude (Prudence):
____A. the act will benefit (on the whole) whatever person(s)/society the act concerns (Justice),
____B. that it is neither excessive nor deficient in light of the circumstances (Temperance),
_and furthermore:
2. you must overcome whatever resistance there is to actually performing the act (Fortitude).

[*Sufficient thought need not—and in many cases should not—take a significant amount of time, but as one can never act voluntarily without making some judgement about the situation, prudence is a feature of all moral action.  Wisely judging the amount of deliberation that is required, is itself an act of virtue.  In the case of habitual action, the deliberative thought might have been performed sometime in the past. Human acts, and hence human virtues, are extended in time.]

If an act is unwise, then it is necessarily also unjust, intemperate, and rash, and vice versa.

For example, if eating a 3rd slice of chocolate cake in one day is wrong, this can only be because careful thought (Prudence) would reveal that it is too much (Temperance) to be healthy for your body (Justice) and hence that one should resist the temptation to do so (Fortitude).

Eating 3 slices cannot both be “too many all things considered”, yet still “wise to choose”; nor can it be “bad for you”, yet also “admirable to continue upon encountering resistance and pain”.  (Except perhaps in the sense that the willpower required, could later be turned to better purposes.)  And the same relation holds between every other pair of cardinal virtues.

Similarly, if an act is, of its nature, good for society (Justice), but is done at an inopportune time or in excess (lack of Temperance), this presumably implies that it would have been even better for society if it had been done in a better way.  Thus, the failure of Temperance is itself also a failure of Justice, and of Prudence as well.

It is even more obvious that if you are contemplating an act which is Prudent, Just, and Temperate, but you chicken out of actually doing it, that none of the sweetness you were aiming for will actually occur.

When we state that an act involves a failure of one specific virtue, this should be understood as being advice for improvement.  Since a human being cannot attend to all features of their act simultaneously, we point them to whichever feature of the act they need to be thinking about in order to act better. (Picking the wrong feature, e.g. telling a smoker about the health benefits of quitting when they are already fully aware of this, is a failure of moral rhetoric).

In some cases our best judgement turns out to be in error, yet following our best judgement is still virtue, since virtue belongs to the genus of skill, not the genus of luck. One cannot choose to be lucky, except insofar as cultivating opportunities for luck is itself a matter of skill (as e.g. the skillful card player will cultivate hands, such that a greater number of possible card draws would result in winning the game).

All four of these virtues are therefore necessary, to some degree, in every virtuous act.  Just as the human body cannot survive for even an hour without any one of the 1) brain, 2) heart, or 3) lungs functioning.  (Apart from artificial medical substitutes.)  You need ALL of them to be working.  The total failure of any one of these 3 organs, will almost immediately cause catastrophic failure of all other organs.  Of course if you value survival on the order of weeks, we could add several more vital organs to this list!

Not every virtue with a name, thus contains the whole of Virtue.  Some virtues (e.g. Chastity, Sobriety, Studiousness) are instead virtue as restricted to a particular subject matter.  In such cases, it is of course possible to fail in one area of life, while not failing in other areas of life.  So far, I have argued only that the 4 traditional cardinal virtues implicitly contain all of Virtue within them.

Are there other such virtues?  If virtue can also be understood as our duty to the gods, then Piety is also the form of every virtue. But what must the gods be for this unity to make sense?  (Euthyphro).  First, the gods must have a unity of will among themselves; and second, the union of their will with goodness must be necessary rather than accidental. The dilemma points us towards Ethical Monotheism, not Atheism.

Paradoxes of Theodicy

Part I. The Problem of Evil.

A typical form of the Argument from Evil claims that it is unreasonable to think that a God exists who would permit evil, if he is assumed to have the following properties:

• Omnipotent (all-powerful)
• Omniscience (all-knowing, all-wise)
• Perfectly good

(Actually, it would be even more typical if the presentation used the term “Omnibenevolent” for the moral property.  But I can’t help but notice that this term is only ever used by skeptics presenting this particular argument.  It is not a term traditionally used by theologians, and I’m not entirely certain what its meaning is.  What does the “omni” part extend over?  Different persons?  Different acts?  Does it mean that God is obligated to create every possible being?  Does it mean that God is obligated to give every possible good to every possible being?  Traditional theology tends to deny the existence of such obligations.  I have accordingly replaced the “moral” attribute with what I consider to be a better term.)

The argument goes, that if God is perfectly good, he will want to prevent us from experiencing any evil.  If God is all-wise, he will be aware of the best method for eliminating evil.  And if God is all-powerful, then he will be able to implement this method without encountering any obstacle to his power.  So then what is the explanation of evil?

The term “theodicy” refers to attempts to explain why God permits evil.  This post will not, quite, propose any specific theodicy.  Although there are various theodicy-like proposals that I will make in various places in this essay, most of them fairly tentatively.  Instead, my points will be more on the meta level.  I will argue for some reasons to be skeptical about the cogency of the Argument from Evil in this form.  I will argue for the following theses:

1. It is not highly implausible that God has reasons for permitting evil that we don’t know about.

2. If there is a logically satisfactory explanation for suffering, it is not unlikely that the explanation—to the extent that we can understand it—would not emotionally satisfy us.  Arguably, it could not do so, without undermining whatever purposes God has for allowing suffering in the first place.

3. There are some deeply paradoxical aspects of the human relationship to “good” and “evil”, that make it impossible for us to conceive of a perfectly good state of affairs, involving (a) human beings recognizably like us, who (b) experience no evils, and in particular (c) are content with this state of affairs.

(Strictly speaking, the discontent in (c) is a subcase of (b), but I have given it a separate letter anyway, because you can’t stop me from doing so!)

While I maintain that thesis 1 follows from entirely straightforward and reasonable probabilistic considerations, the other two thesis may seem stranger.  How can there be an explanation for suffering that doesn’t satisfy us?  How can it be not good for things to be perfectly good?

But I doubt that we can avoid all such paradoxes by denying Theism.  Especially the paradox in my 3rd thesis, which has to do with the nature of human preferences, and which would be a quite serious problem, even—in fact, especially—in a hypothetical transhumanist utopia designed by atheists.

The Order of Limits

Let me start by making one point, which I have said before, and which I consider to be utterly obvious.  It is stupid to think that Omniscience makes the Argument from Evil stronger.  It obviously makes it weaker.  The argument I mentioned above:

If God is all-wise, he will be aware of the best method for eliminating evil,

presupposes that God’s infinitely greater wisdom only matters for purposes of selecting the most intelligent means, to accomplish those goals that we in our finite human wisdom have identified as good.  But it is equally possible that God’s greater wisdom will involve him pursuing higher goals that humans are unaware of.  God could well be aware of forms of goodness we have no clue about.  (As well as seeing various ways in which our own goals might be better served, by first putting us through a sequence of events that doesn’t seem to us like a good way to accomplish those goals.)

It is pure hubris to think that God’s infinitely greater intelligence would only be like a higher technology in service of human ends.  Rather than also giving him a higher perspective on what are the goods most worth acquiring.

In other words, the Argument from Evil would be most convincing, if it were about a being who has human-level wisdom, but universally benevolent, and infinitely* powerful.  I certainly agree that such a being would be unlikely to construct a world that looks like our own.  But that is not the Judaeo-Christian doctrine about God, is it?

[*Footnote: except, to make the hypothetical work, the infinitely powerful being would have to be somehow prohibited from using one of their wishes to wish for greater wisdom?  The thought experiment doesn’t really make sense, but that isn’t the point of the thought experiment, so let’s ignore its internal contradictions.]

On the other hand, if we imagine an infinitely wise being with finite power (but still universally benevolent) it is quite hard for me to imagine that I know what such a being might think are the most important priorities.  It could very easily be something quite different from my own top priorities.

Remember, infinite wisdom is a lot of wisdom. Now wisdom is not quite the same thing as intelligence, but if we consider intelligence then one of the smartest people who have ever lived is St. John von Neumann.  Suppose we imagine a being who is as much smarter than John von Neumann, in the same ratio that von Neumann is smarter than an average 4-year old child (let’s call this being HvN for hyper-Von Neumann).  Then HvN is presumably able to have an enormous number of qualitatively important insights, that would be impossible for HvN to explain even to Von Neumann.  And this is a being who still has a finite amount of wisdom.  The same is true of hyper-hyper-Von Neumann (HHvN), hyper-hyper-hyper-Von Neumann (HHHvN) etc.  But God would be smarter than all of these.  (And, if you accept, as most modern mathematicians do, St. Georg Cantor’s theory of transfinite cardinals of different size, then we probably aren’t even done yet.  God’s wisdom would not be exhausted just by saying it is infinite—it is bigger than the hierarchy of all possible infinities!)  So who knows what an infinitely wise being would do?

And note, that, at less than one iteration of this process, there are already plenty of evils (like needing to brush one’s teeth and go to the dentist) that the average 4-year old is not likely to be able to understand the reasons for, but an average adult can understand.  (Of course, the 4-year old could simply trust their parents that there is a good reason to brush teeth, but this would involve faith in a higher authority, not the 4-year old’s own reason.)

I’ve been using a bit of rhetoric here to drive home my point, by harping on how alien an infinitely wise being is likely to be, compared to us.  To be sure, it is equally valuable to meditate on the other prongs of the argument—just how much compassion a perfectly good God would have towards a child who gets cruelly murdered etc.  But proponents of the Argument from Evil have doubtless already rhetorically hammered on these points enough for almost everyone to know what that would look like.  I am inviting such proponents to meditate on a different prong of their argument, for a change.

So, the Argument from Evil seems likely to be solvable if God is (infinitely wise, reasonably finite power level).  And it seems likely to be unsolvable if God is (reasonably finite wisdom, infinitely powerful).  What if (as Classical Theism holds) God is infinite in both respects?  Well then, I maintain that it is at least not obvious which of these 2 cases gives a better analogy to the (infinitely wise, infinitely powerful) case.  It’s a bit like one of those functions F(x,y) in calculus where you get one answer if you take the x → ∞ limit first, and a different answer if you take the y → ∞ limit first.  So the value of F(∞,∞) is ambiguous.

Except that, the whole point of my argument is that we don’t really know what happens when the “wisdom” parameter is taken to be enormously large values, even if those values are finite.  Maybe, insight into goodness tops out some wisdom level W, and all beings wiser than W would basically all agree about what goods are worth pursuing (and what means should be used to attain them, whenever said means are possible).  Then, any being wiser than W would either be able to “justify God’s ways to”—well maybe not “man”, but to somebody sufficiently far up in the sequence (vN, HvN, HHvN, HHHvN…).  Or, alternatively, maybe a being wiser than W would be able to tell that the Argument from Evil was perfectly sound.  But I see no particular reason why this should happen at a human level of intelligence.

On the other hand, it is also possible that infinite wisdom leads to some qualitatively new insights about goodness that aren’t accessible to anyone in that sequence.

Which of these is more important, God knowing more about goodness than I do, or God being so powerful that he has ways of avoiding having to ever make a tradeoff?  Beats me!  But if agnosticism is justified concerning this critical question, then the Argument from Evil seems to rest on some pretty shaky foundations.

Maximizing Functions

Without assuming it is accurate in every respect, let us consider a crassly consequentialist model of the “God knows about more kinds of goods than we do” scenario.  Let’s write a function \(f(w)\) that sums up all the kinds of goodness which we humans are aware of.  Here let \(w \in W\) where \(W\) is the set of all the (logically consistent) possible ways the world might be.  Now let us suppose that God is aware of the existence of other important kinds of goodness besides the ones we are aware of.  Call these additional goods \(g(w)\).  So the total goodness is the sum:

$$\mathrm{Total} \, \mathrm{Goodness}(w) \,=\, f(w) + g(w)$$

Let us suppose this function has a maximum possible value, and that God selects whichever world \(w\) maximizes total goodness.  (Or if there is a tie, he picks one of the maxima arbitrarily.)

What are the odds that the world \(w\) which God selects, maximizes not only \(f + g\), but also \(f\)?  Well it is impossible to say for sure, without knowing what the function \(g(w)\) is.  But intuitively the answer seems to be, vanishingly unlikely (approaching probability 0), unless there is some reason why the function \(g(w)\) happens to be 0, or directly proportional to \(f(w)\), or some other weird thing happens.

This deviation will, almost by definition, appear to us to take the form of a gratuitous evil, since \(f(w)\) is smaller than it might have been and we are unaware of \(g(w)\).  So, on this hypothesis, we should be highly confident that God will create a world with at least one form of gratuitous evil.  It seems like this is even more likely to be true in a more realistic model where worlds \(w\) differ in a very high dimensional space.

How different will the optimum world be, from the apparent optimum?  They could be quite “close” if \(g(w)\) is small compared to \(f(w)\).  But we have no particular reason to think this is true.  If \(g(w)\) is comparable in size to \(f(w)\) or bigger, then maybe the maxima lie in quite different directions.

Aside: Some Goods May Be Incomparable

Now actually, my moral and theological beliefs are quite a bit different from the setup above.  I don’t think goodness is really a number.  I think sometimes things can be compared, and sometimes they can’t be.

In my view, there are many (radically incomparable) different forms of goodness, and (like an artist writing a novel) nobody has any right to complain if God creates one form of good over another, as long as the world is actually good, and there’s no way he could have done a better job at making that particular good thing he was aiming at.

God is already supremely good before he makes anything at all, and in that sense all of creation is gratuitous.  But, once we specify what specific type(s) of goodness God is aiming for, it seems inevitable that there are better and worse ways of going about it, and therefore in some specific aspects, the consequentialist model above probably captures a fair amount of truth.

However, if these beliefs are right, none of the corrections I have made in this section seem to make the Problem of Evil harder to solve.  If anything, they make it easier to solve.  (There might be a question of why a God who is already supremely good made anything at all, but this is a different theological problem.)

If you are an AI-Doomer, you should reject the Argument from Evil

Let me put the argument another way.  Perhaps some of my readers belong to the Singularity school of thought (people who are hopeful/worried about AI bootstrapping itself into an enormously superhuman level of power in a short amount of time).  To such readers, I would note that the following beliefs seem to have incompatible justifications:

1. High risk of Yudkowsky-style AI doom (conditional on a powerful AI being built)
2. The Argument from Evil is devastating evidence against standard Theism.

As I understand it, the argument for (1) partly proceeds through the claim that an agentic AI can be modeled as a utility maximizer.  While the AI’s utility function is likely to overlap in some ways with ours (since we built it to accomplish some tasks), relatively small mistakes in the AI’s utility function, are (in this view) likely to lead to consequences which most humans will regard as grievously evil (e.g. human extinction or perpetual slavery).  Basically, the idea is that utility maximization is a harsh mistress.  Since whatever maximizes one set of goals perfectly, will often be a very bad fit to any other set of goals.  And if the utility maximizer has enormous power, so that the maximization is done over a very wide space of possibilities, we aren’t in a good position to predict whether such a universe will be human-friendly.

But now consider the view Theism + Moral Realism.  On this view, God is an agent who seeks objective goodness.  For purposes of this argument, let us model goodness as maximizing some utility function, which partially overlaps with human preferences.  But as pointed out above, if there are any additional terms in the function (e.g. types of good which God knows about and we don’t) then (if you buy the argument in the previous paragraph) it seems almost certain that the world will contain certain things that humans see as grievous evils, upon extreme optimization over God’s “utility function”, as it were.

In fact, if you are a dystopian about AI, that means you must regard our current world (prior to the predicted AI apocalypse, anyway) as rather surprisingly human-friendly, among the space of worlds optimized by utility functions slightly different from our own.  A world where, if the AI had produced it, the AI-doomers would all breathe a big sigh of relief that alignment had gone better than expected, even if we didn’t get the Transhumanist Utopia.  But that means that the existence of apparently grievous evil is actually expected on the hypothesis of a benevolent God!  (That is, if you buy the AI-doom argument.)

In other words, if you think:

1. High probability of great evil, given a powerful AI whose preferences are slightly “incorrect” relative to human preferences,

you should also think:

2. High probability of (apparent) great evil, given that human preferences are slightly “incorrect” relative to divine preferences.

Of course, the God of Classical Theism is vastly more powerful than any AI could be, but it is not clear that this helps, since (in the case of the AI) people think that the more powerful it is, the more concerned they should be.

Does this mean that humans should hate and fear God, the way AI-doomers hate and fear unaligned AI?  Well, I would agree that a certain type of “fear” is appropriate, towards a powerful being with somewhat inscrutable goals.  There is a reason why the Bible talks about the “fear of the Lord” as a characteristic trait of pious people.  But if moral realism is true, I don’t think that hatred can be appropriate towards a being that maximizes true goodness.  (Imagine, if it makes it easier, that you would come around to God’s point of view after a million years of what Yudkowsky calls “coherent extrapolated volition”.)  Note also that this view does not imply moral skepticism, as the things we care about can still be really morally good, and the things we dislike can still be really morally bad.  It’s just that God just cares about some additional things, that we don’t know about.

Degree of Inexplicability Not Proportional to Magnitude

It is tempting to say, well maybe this sort of theodicy explains stubbed toes or a lack of parking spaces, but surely it does not justify allowing mass starvation, rape, children dying of cancer etc.  But really it all depends on what is contained in the mystery box \(g(w)\), and how important it is.

Intuitively, there is a pretty big difference between a stubbed toe and childhood cancer.  It feels like explaining away the latter is almost offensive to the child or parents.  And indeed, in the presence of those who are suffering grave evils, one should be cautious about speaking in a glib way about God’s plans.  But this social rule of politeness also applies when speaking to people who are convinced that their suffering is part of God’s plan.  So this rule of politeness is hardly substantive evidence that there is no divine plan.

That said, it seems like a conceptual mistake to identify how apparently “gratuitous” an evil is with how large it is.  It is just as mysterious to me what good is gained when we stub our toes, as it is why some children get leukemia.  Indeed, the more severe an evil is, the more likely it is to build character or something else (infuriatingly) edifying, rather than just cause irritation without personal growth.

Part II. The Problem of Moral Action

Let us now consider a potentially serious paradox if we accept the above framework.  Suppose that there really are greater goods that justify all the evils in the world, it might seem to have the unpalatable consequence that it would be bad to try to improve the world.  For suppose we truly believe the world maximizes the goodness function \(f(w) + g(w)\).  If we try to change the world in a way that increases \(f\), presumably we decrease \(g\) by a greater amount and end up in a worse place.

So seemingly we shouldn’t try to cure cancer, or help little old ladies cross the street, or prevent rape, or anything like that, since any defects we see are part of God’s purpose.  But that is morally absurd (and also contrary to the teachings of most Theistic religions, where God commands us to do good deeds).

Of course, since God also made us, we can’t really think about God’s goals in isolation from what we do.  As a result, it is not clear that this unpalatable conclusion actually holds.  But, to speak more carefully, not every possible bundle of hidden goods \(g\) will have the property that it still justifies our attempts to improve things.  Only some possible \(g\)’s will have this property.  So, this does place a serious constraint on the kinds of justification that are possible.  It has to be a justification that is compatible with the continual struggle to morally improve the world.

But this fact, once we acknowledge it, has pretty significant implications for the whole problem.  And not all of these implications are bad for Theism.  Some of them help to explain certain aspects of why God might allow the existence of apparently gratuitous evils.

The Correct Explanation Might Not Be Satisfying or Helpful

It is tempting to say, “Why doesn’t God at least explain why evil exists, so that we can be satisfied that our suffering is for a good reason?”  This might not eliminate the evils, but it would at least make them no longer appear to be gratuitous.

But there is no reason to think that, even if the answer is comprehensible to us (it might not be) that we would find it emotionally satisfying to learn the answer.  One thing that I have learned in life is to be suspicious whenever anyone says “I could bear my suffering if only I had [specific unobtainable consolation C]”.  Sometimes when the C is finally obtained, it  doesn’t help as much as we think it would.  The only way to be confident that this sort of thing is true, is if we actually had C and found that it helped us.  Obviously, we are not in this position when it comes to the Problem of Evil.

So it is quite possible that God doesn’t explain the reason for allowing evil, because he knows that if we did, we wouldn’t like it.  (Even though it actually is explanatory.)

The odds are good that the true explanation has some steps like “Let me first sit you through several courses in microbiology so that you see how inevitable it is that copying errors will appear in DNA of life forms like you.  Now let me say why I appreciate biology enough that I don’t just do random miracles to stop it.”*  Are you any happier now that your kid got cancer?  What if there are footnotes answering all the obvious objections?

[*Footnote: I don’t mean that this is an actually correct theodicy that should convince you.  Just that the actual one could be something which is similarly unsatisfying.]

No?  Then you didn’t want that reason.  You wanted something else: a compelling life narrative in which suffering (even if you don’t know the specifics of why it happens) contributes in a meaningful way to your own personal beatitude (and that of your child in this hypothetical).  What you really need is inspiring stories about how historical people just like you have overcome the suffering and become heroes and saints.  In other words, to meet your emotional needs, what will really help is precisely the kind of consolation that a religion like Christianity actually offers, most especially through its view that suffering unites us to God if we offer it back to him, through the crucified Christ.  Even if it doesn’t feel like solving the Problem of Evil in the abstract sense originally posed.

Or let’s put this another way.  What would satisfy us as “Solving the Problem of Evil”?  What most of us want, if God exists, is for him to tell us some specific fact A that makes it so we don’t have to struggle anymore with the seeming futility of life.  But if the moral struggle is part of the point (of our current stage of existence), then it necessarily follows that God had better not to tell us fact A.  Because if he does, we will stop struggling with it!  Perhaps he can tell us other things, but not that.  (Not yet.)

Or, suppose no such fact A exists, but there is some other good reason B for our struggle, but it has the property that learning B would not cause us to stop struggling.  Well then, in that case, learning B will not feel emotionally like a good explanation for evil.  And this is precisely because it doesn’t cause us to stop struggling with the fact of evil.  So if God specifically wants us to mature through a process of struggle, we can’t expect to be fully emotionally satisfied by any presently available explanation as to why we struggle.

To summarize, if there is a good reason for God to have us suffer, then it follows God won’t not tell us the reason for that suffering, unless knowing that reason doesn’t cause us to stop suffering, and is therefore emotionally unsatisfactory.

Of course, having discovered this reasoning, I already feel a bit better about God not telling me why I suffer!  So perhaps I am undermining my own argument a bit here.  But, it could also be true that there is an important difference between my having a theory about suffering exists, versus a hypothetical situation where we know the answer because God tells us explicitly.

Why Do Pandas Exist?

The Argument from Evil has the greatest force if, conditional on both God and evil existing, we would expect to know the reasons for the evil to exist.  (Then we can appeal to the fact that in the real world, there are seemingly gratuitous evils, where “gratuitous” means there isn’t a  good reason, contrary to our expectations on Theism.)

But do we have the right to expect this, even conditional on Theism?  I think it is important to put the problem of evil in perspective, by noting that almost everything we observe in the universe seems similarly gratuitous, in the sense that we don’t know its purpose for existing.

To be sure, people don’t complain very much about gratuitous non-evils.  But that doesn’t make them any easier to understand from an intellectual point of view.

For example, why do pandas exist?  Is it to be cute and fuzzy?  Is it because they give humans joy?  A plausible theodicy, but we don’t really know that this is why God made pandas.  (Or snakes, or beetles, or…)  If we don’t know the function and role that even seemingly good things play, in the ultimate purpose of creation, then why would we expect to know the function and role of seemingly bad things?

(One cannot simply appeal to their goodness, as there is a huge variety of good things God might have made.  Why are there pandas instead of dragons?  Who knows!)

This may be part of the meaning of the Answer to Job in the Bible.  It’s not as if we were in a position to say to God, “OK, I know why you did everything else, it’s totally obvious why there had to be elliptical galaxies and all those beetles, but what about evil?”  Most people can’t even give a good explanation why humans exist, let alone all these other things in creation.

Evolutionary Theodicy

Or maybe we do know why pandas exist?

There’s another way to interpret what God says to Job.  “I can’t explain why evil exists in your current state of development.  But I’ll give you a big hint, for the benefit of future generations.  It has something to do with why there are so many different kinds of animal species that behave in lots of crazy ways!”

Many generations later, Darwin comes along.  We now know something people didn’t know in the past, which is that the brutal competition to avoid death and find love, is actually powerful enough to create new animal species and in fact, this is the reason why there are so many amazingly cool animals and plants out there.  Wild!

But, that means we do now know at least part of the reason for all the death and striving in the animal kingdom.  It was needed to produce humans.  (Not just us, of course, but also cats and dogs and horses etc.)  If God had decided that all creatures get to flourish equally, there wouldn’t have been any creatures like us in the first place.  The reason you have all these unfulfilled strivings (to avoid pain, seek arduous goods, acquire a mate etc.) is precisely that it was only those who struggled in this way, who were able to pass on their genetic heritage to future generations.

You have pain because it was useful for the survival of your ancestors.  Thus, the evils that appear in evolutionary history clearly play a causal role in the creation of human beings. And human beings are good.  Therefore the evils in past evolutionary history were, at least in broad strokes, justified by the final outcome.  You, in turn, have that same capacity to suffer, precisely because it is the biological legacy passed on to you by your ancestors.

I already told you that you wouldn’t like the explanation for evil, and that it wouldn’t resolve your suffering, or make much difference to how you live your life.  But you didn’t believe me then, did you?  Do you believe me now?

Some readers might have the following objection: God could have created life forms by some completely different method.  For example, like Young Earth Creationism (YEC) or something.  But precisely because Darwinian evolution is so—well explanatory—there is something about this view that strikes me as being fundamentally silly, like the YEC trees being created with rings already in them, or the YEC Adam and Eve having belly buttons, despite not having been born in the usual way.  But the point is far more profound than this.  The fact is, our evolutionary history is partly constitutive of who we are.  If God created life forms ab initio, without evolution or pain or striving, surely they wouldn’t look anything like humans, with our bundles of animal drives.  They wouldn’t even look like ideally happy humans.  They would have to look like something completely different.  Like angels or something.

But in that case, we wouldn’t exist.  So is it good for human beings to exist?  If so, why shouldn’t God create them?

You could bite the bullet and say that God should have simply created intelligent beings very different from us.  It’s plausible.  But it also reduces my confidence that such a world would really be better, since it would be quite radically different from our own.  Our confidence in our ability to assess the goodness of a world, should surely diminish as we get farther away from the domains in which our common sense applies.

(Of course, traditional Christian theology says God did create angels; he just didn’t stop there.  God went on to also create humans.  So the answer might be that it is indeed better to create angels than humans, but having created the angels, God decided the world would be even better if it also contained evolved animals such as us.)

I don’t actually know if this amounts to a complete theodicy.  It may only be one piece of the puzzle.  But it is rather interesting that there is a nontrivial theodicy buried within Darwinian Evolution, even though this is widely regarded by many people as the scientific theory most supportive of Atheism.

Of course, that is because of its implications against (certain forms of) the Argument from Design (as well as the fundamentalist interpretation of Genesis) leading to many religious folks having an immune reaction against Evolution.  But in this post we are now considering the Argument from Evil, not the Argument from Design.  There is nothing contradictory about Darwinism partially undermining both of these classic arguments, for and against Theism.

The Ubermensch

Our current struggles put you in continuity and sympathy with past life forms, whose struggles absolutely were necessarily in order to create you.  What about the future course of evolution?  Here’s another idea that might make Nietzsche happy: your current struggles might well create an evolutionary gradient that will result in the emergence some superhuman life form.

It is true that some (mostly not-very-Christian people) around the start of the 20th century got rather too excited by the possibilities of humans evolving into the ubermensch, and a bunch of silly and horrible things happened as a result.

While evolution might indeed occur in the future, I reject the idea that we should make this into a religion.  We shouldn’t worship our descendants, any more than we should worship our ancestors.  As St. Lewis wrote:

There is no sense in talking of `becoming better’ if better means simply `what we are becoming’ — it is like congratulating yourself on reaching your destination and defining destination as `the place you have reached’.  Mellontolatry, the worship of the future, is a fuddled religion.
(“Evil and God”)

At least in the case of our ancestors, if we choose to worship them, we have some notions what they were actually like.  But in the case of our distant descendants, it would just be a blank canvas to project our fancies.  For all we know they will be completely different from what we think they are going to be.

It is true that, if the world lasts long enough, future evolution may well create more evolved forms of the human race, and all this might in turn morally justify some amount of whatever “survival of the fittest” is taking place in the present.  But this is speculative, since none of us knows what is going to happen in the future. If you put all of your eggs in this basket, you’ll look pretty silly if Jesus comes back sometime in the next few thousand years, and ends history before this hypothetical new evolutionary stage emerges.

The Christian worldview is bigger than the cosmos, not smaller.  So we should be willing to acknowledge whatever truth there is in other worldviews, even if those other views aren’t seeing the entire picture.  As a Christian, I can accept that there are elements of truth to the Nietzschean philosophy, that struggle is a valuable thing and shouldn’t be eliminated.  But there are lots of other moral truths that need to be held in balance with this one.

If learning about evolutionary struggle makes some people think it is OK to go around starting fistfights, collecting harems, and pissing in other people’s swimming pools, then maybe there’s a reason God didn’t spell all of this out in the Book of Genesis.  Maybe instead of asking God why he allows evil, we should instead ask ourselves whether we humans are sufficiently trustworthy for God to explicitly tell us the explanation for evil.

Instead of trying to breed a new human race, maybe we should focus on trying to be good people.  Of course, you are allowed to have (some) opinions about what you think people should be like, when you choose a spouse and raise your kids.  But maybe we should leave the long-term management of the human gene pool to God.

We Christians have very good reasons to believe that God’s ideal for human behavior is closer to St. Francis of Assisi, than to Genghis Khan—the most evolutionarily “successful” man of his generation!  But without evolutionary history, you don’t get Francis any more than you get Genghis.  Francis had the same animal impulses, to retaliate and lust, that you or I have.  His meekness was like the gentleness of a tamed lion.  Not that of a mouse too small to do much harm.

Part III: The Problem of Humanity

Suppose we accept that it a good thing for human beings to exist—then on that supposition, the Argument from Evil amounts to this.  We are saying to God: “I’m okay with being a primate with a big brain, dedicated not just to seeking food and sex and affection, but also solving complex, difficult problems.  But, I also want to be placed in a world where there are actually no important problems that need solving, or at least none that I care about enough to affect my happiness.  Just give me the food and love, without me having to do anything to get them.  And please don’t let me get bored either.”

That comes across to me as a bit lazy and spoiled.

Perhaps it is even true, that the more moral virtue we have—in the sense of routinely accepting difficult or painful tasks for the sake of achieving greater goods—the less plausible we will find the Argument from Evil.  Because virtue gives us the lived experience of bringing goods out of evils (apparent or actual).  So the more we are able to do that, the more we will see the goods that can only exist when we overcome badness.  Conversely, a cynical and selfish person, is almost bound to see the world as more deeply bad than it actually is, whenever it contradicts their most superficial desires.  (Note that I am not implying that people who raise the Argument from Evil are acting on bad moral motivations, at the moment they raise the question.  What I am talking about is something happening at a deeper and prior level, before the argument is ever raised.)  Admittedly there are other ways in which being a good person makes our hatred of evil sharper, so the balance here is not entirely straightforward.

Somebody could say, well maybe virtue is only good because (unfortunately) it is necessary to do hard things in this world, and that’s why we admire it.  But in a hypothetical perfect world where nothing bad happened, virtue would also be unnecessary.  We could be cowardly and selfish, and it just wouldn’t matter because there would be neither danger nor competition.   On such a utilitarian view, virtue doesn’t really matter for its own sake.  It only matters to the extent that it leads to more pleasure or less pain.

But I don’t share this view.  I think it is good to be a good person, not just that it is instrumentally useful for gaining hedonic pleasures.  Indeed the so-called “happiness” of a hedonist is trivial, in comparison with the meaningfulness of a typical life of virtue.

What is the Optimal History?

In fact, the existence of large problem-solving brains, itself problematizes the entire concept of maximizing goodness, at least if this is considered in a static sense.  Suppose the world were already optimal, i.e. the best world possible, at the time that human beings first came into existence.  Then, there would seemingly be not much point in God creating intelligent animals like us.  Because animal intelligence involves the ability to imagine the world as different from how it is, and then to act to bring about that change.  But if the world is already optimal, than any change we make will make it worse, and that seems to make the use of intelligence a bad thing, rather than a good one.

But this is a paradox.  Because from another perspective, intelligent life is the highest, best, and most valuable good thing, among all the things we experience.  If intelligence were purely instrumental, that would imply you should be willing to sacrifice almost all of your intelligence to achieve your other goals, like pleasure.  But this is an absurd wireheading scenario.  (In this thought experiment, I am assuming it is possible to have large amounts of consciousness/pleasure, without much intelligence.)

So what is the best possible way to have intelligent beings like humans that meaningfully use their intelligence?

One possible way out, is for God to try to optimize for the best history, rather than the best static world-state.  That is, the world could be one that starts out imperfect, but eventually (at least in part as a result of human struggle, without ruling out a possible need for divine intervention) achieves a state of complete perfection.  (Of course, you could worry that once we reach perfection, the same problems will recur, but I will postpone that discussion to the end of this essay.)

Suppose this scenario is true.  Then at a sufficiently early state of our development, we should expect to find ourselves in a situation where the world is imperfect and requires fixing.  Well guess what?  Look around, and that’s just what we see!  Suspicious, huh.

Nothing I have said in this section necessarily requires libertarian free will.  But if it turns out that we do have such free will, then it is of course possible that some of our free actions will make things worse, rather than better.  This basic observation is different from trying to attribute all evils to free will, which is not at all the idea that I am proposing here.  (Though, there may be more attributable to this than we think.  For example, if nobody ever made the kinds of evil choices that cause or require wars, and if all that time and energy had gone to medicine instead, presumably there would now be far more cures for diseases.  Thus, many current events that we frame as natural evils, could be reframed as consequences of past moral evils.)

It should be noted that this moral action theodicy, like the free will defense, obviously overcomes the objection that it de-motivates moral action.  If a major part of the reason why the world contains imperfections is so we can remove those imperfections, then obviously this will motivate, rather than de-motivate, moral action.

The Garden of Eden

Someone might object by mentioning the story of the Garden of Eden in Genesis.  I’ve already mentioned Adam and Eve, so this is fair game.  Doesn’t Christianity claim that human beings did start in a perfect state, and only lost it because they sinned, by eating the forbidden fruit (that is, the Fruit of the Tree of the Knowledge of Good and Evil)?

To be sure, multiple aspects of this story would need to be interpreted non-literally in order to be compatible with Darwinian Evolution, a fact which any scientific worldview needs to incorporate.  But if we relax a bit, and just read the story as a story, it seems to describe a world without sin and death.  So isn’t that the perfect world we are looking for?

I would deny this claim.  A world without sin is not the same as a world where nothing bad ever happens.  Even if we go by the literal text, Genesis indicates that there was pain before the Fall (Gen 3:16), and also things that were not good (Gen 2:18).  Even before the Fall, there was a mission to name the animals and to tend the garden.  And there was already a conflict brewing with the crafty serpent, implying that (to remain sinless) Adam and Eve were required to resist some of their own desires, an experience which is not usually 100% pleasant for the persons concerned.

Following a more Eastern Orthodox approach to the story, I would see Adam and Eve not as being perfect in the sense of maximally mature, but rather as being at the very beginning of their story, rather than at the end of their story.  We don’t know how what the middle of the story would have looked like, if they hadn’t sinned.  It could even be, that if Adam and Eve had resisted temptation for long enough, God would have eventually permitted them to sinlessly eat from the Tree of Knowledge.  (Knowledge is an inherently good thing, not a bad thing.  The problem was trying to acquire this particular knowledge by disobeying God, and also at a time when they were insufficiently mature to deal with the consequences of this knowledge.)  In any case, the story doesn’t tell us what would have happened next if they hadn’t succumbed to the first temptation, since they did succumb.  And as they say, the rest is history.

Haggling over the Price

Anyway, I certainly admit that there could well be lots of ways of introducing removable imperfections into the universe, that don’t involve anything near as great a degree of suffering as we see in the real world.  Or, where we have enormous bliss at the same time as we solve a bunch of intellectually stimulating puzzles.  Or at the very least where there isn’t death at the end of every road.  (Though most Theists think we survive death in one way or another.)

But at some level, this is just haggling over the price.  All of us can point to significant changes we would like to see in the world.  At the same time, that is exactly what this theodicy would predict—that there will be features of the world we find unsatisfactory and want to remove if possible, and also that it should not always be obvious how to remove them (since otherwise intelligent thought would not be needed).  And we can’t expect to solve all the problems either, not if there is to be anything left for future generations to do.

There are lots of possible quantities of evil in the world that could be imagined.  But wherever on that spectrum God places the human race, it’s always going to seem to us like he should have included a bit less evil.  And this is presumably going to be true all the way up to the point where, from the standpoint of our current world and its evolved preferences, we would see that there would then be not very much point in having intelligent creatures at all.  (Perhaps there really is an objectively optimum amount of evil to overcome, in which case God would presumably have created the human race right at that optimum point.  But I have very little idea how to assess how much or how little evil that is, relative to what we currently experience.)

Trying to solve the Problem of Evil here and now, is a bit like expecting to have, in the middle of an adventure story, the same sense of satisfying closure that you have at the end of the story, after the main character is rescued from the trials and tribulations which prevented them from getting what they wanted.  Maybe you can have this the second time you read the book, but not the first time (assuming you don’t like spoilers).

Again, it’s okay if you hate it.  Nothing about this explanation implies you will feel satisfied with this explanation.  At some level, you shouldn’t!  Bad stuff is bad and you aren’t supposed to like it.  You are supposed to fix and/or endure it.  You aren’t required to like it.

We Prefer Stories where Bad Things Happen

But maybe we don’t hate it as much as we think?  I just mentioned stories.  Consider our revealed preferences about that.  When all of our basic physical needs are met (or when we don’t want to face our problems) our favorite pastime as humans is to tell each other stories.  Campside stories, bedtime stories, TV, books, movies, video games etc.

And one thing we absolutely insist on, almost always, is that these stories should have some bad things happen in them!  Problems to overcome.  Villains to fight, victims to rescue.  Or conflicts of value, hard choices that reveal character.  Trials that test characters, or break them.  Finding revenge, or redemption.  If there is nothing bad to overcome, the story is (usually) considered boring.  (Maybe this isn’t true of strictly all stories, there might be some stories without much bad stuff, but it takes a very good writer to keep that interesting!  And certainly nobody would want all stories to be like that.)  It’s okay for the story to have a good ending, but only if there was something to overcome in the middle.  (But there are also people who prefer tragedies and sad endings!)

Isn’t that strange!  We want to remove bad stuff from our actual lives, but that makes us bored, so we insist on bringing bad stuff back in by the back door, as long as it is fictional evil.  Since this is something we all take for granted, being accustomed to it from our youths, I suggest that you stop, and really contemplate for 120 consecutive seconds, just how weird this (almost) universal human desire is.

Secretly, in the spirit deep within our hearts, we already know that some evils are necessary, in order for certain great goods to exist.  Let me be clear, I am not claiming that you should believe this based on the above arguments.  Rather, I am claiming that you already believe this, whether you recognize it or not.

To answer an obvious objection, I agree of course that a fictional bad event is quite different morally from a real bad even, i.e. it isn’t necessarily actually bad.  For example, fictional people don’t really suffer, we only pretend that they do.  If fictional evil were really evil, then it would be morally problematic to write fiction in which terrible events occur, and nobody thinks that this is the case.  (Perhaps it is sometimes immoral to write dreary nihilistic fiction, but if so this is only true because it demoralizes actual human beings.)

Nevertheless, our love for the fictional story represents a real desire in us.  So it is striking that this love not only allows, but often requires bad things to exist, in the story.  And this love suggests, in turn, that there is something good about worlds that include evil, that simply cannot be found in worlds without it.

And of course, many people enjoy confronting potential evils in the real world—it’s called a sense of adventure.  We certainly like hearing about stories of adventure that really happened too.  In fact, as long as the story is equally good, it is more interesting to us if it really happened.  Though for most of us, we would prefer for it to happen to somebody else!  But if bad things never happened to anyone, presumably we wouldn’t know how to tell or enjoy stories about it happening.  So even fictional badness requires some real badness (even if only a limited amount of it).

Somebody could say, well maybe we only like stories which include bad stuff because we are evolved to face bad stuff in the real world.   So in a world where nothing bad happened, we would also not have a taste for adventure stories, and we wouldn’t get bored not having them.  But doesn’t that seem… at least a little bit bad?  There is a genuine good in these adventure stories, and it seems like in some ways the perfect people would be missing out, not being able to appreciate them like we do.  But then, if these stories capture some sort of goodness that requires evil to exist, then surely this implies the existence of a partial justification for evil?

If some amount of fictional evil is needed to maximize fictional good, then plausibly some amount of actual evil is needed to maximize actual good.  And perhaps, the actual goods concerned, are not completely unrelated to the goods that we appreciate in stories: adventure, interestingness, a dramatic plot etc.  Perhaps, one of the differences between God’s notion of goodness and are own, is not that so much that he values some things we think are evil, but rather that he sees that some of things we genuinely like (in certain contexts), are in reality far more valuable even then we think they are, when viewed from an eternal perspective.

At any rate, our taste in stories implies that, if we were just judging God’s creation as if it were a fictional narrative, from an aesthetic viewpoint rather than a moral one, we would certainly judge that it had better contain evil.  At any rate, in order to not feel that way about life, human beings would need to relate to the concepts of good/bad in a rather different way than we do so now.  (Perhaps, we would need to be a species without “the knowledge of good and evil”?)

From this purely aesthetic perspective, one could even argue that maybe our modern world doesn’t have nearly enough evil! Since most people’s lives are rather dull from a day-to-day basis, with most of our daily needs met, and no dramatic actions needed.  Most people need to seek out adventure, by reading about other people’s problems (people whose lives are usually much less pleasant than average).  On the other hand, from a moral perspective, since real people aren’t fictional characters, we also have good moral reasons to want them to suffer less, out of mercy.  So maybe this world is actually a compromise between the two perspectives, the aesthetic one and the moral one.  With enough drama to be interesting, but not enough to ruin the majority of day-to-day pleasures.

(Admittedly this doesn’t do much to explain evils that are also boring and tedious, like factory work and so on.  Though a lot of these evils come from our choice to organize society in a particular way.)

Again, I don’t know if this is the correct theodicy.  Perhaps it is mostly off-base.  But there is at least one insight from this discussion which I am quite confident about.  Which is this lesson:

I can’t think of any conceivable scenario in which human beings as we know them are totally happy, without some badness to overcome somewhere.

In other words, it’s not that I can identify some specific way to run the world, in which everything is perfectly hunky-dory, but our human-level intelligence is also meaningfully exploited, and I am wondering why God doesn’t do that.  Rather, I can’t see any way to avoid some evil existing (even if these might be different evils than the ones we actually see in the real world.)  Maybe Omniscience would see another solution, but I can’t.  To me, any such solution is, and I mean this word advisedly, inconceivable.  By this, I mean, not that it is logically impossible, but rather that if there is a solution, I don’t think any human being on Earth has succeeded in conceiving it.

To be sure, there are plenty of specific bad things about the world, that I would change if I could.  I never denied that, and in fact it is part of my argument.  What I find impossible to imagine, is a world in which everything is perfect, by human standards.  I claim that a world like that is literally impossible to imagine.  Or put another way, any utopia which you can imagine will always have some aspects which are unsatisfactory, and will thus not be fully compatible with our present human conceptions of what a good life should look like.

Transhumanism and the New Jerusalem 

This is why, in transhumanist utopian fiction, once technology reaches the point where almost all problems are overcome, there is often a somewhat bittersweet tone, once you realize the characters living in that society have little to strive for.  Or in a long fantasy series, after the main character becomes a wizard-god so powerful that they can just do whatever they want, and then the character—or at least the reader—has to grapple with the resulting lack of meaning.  (Of course, most good storytellers are smart enough to never put their protagonists into this situation, since it usually ruins the story.)  These scenarios illustrate the sort of ennui which any actual paradise would have to somehow overcome, in order to truly be paradise.  (Here is a book review by Scott Alexander, discussing this problem.)

Of course, these scenarios are a pretty long way—and perhaps we should say, thank God—from what a typical human life looks like.  Although there is a little bit of an earthly parallel, in the archetype of the bored aristocratic hedonist:

There are things you need not know of,
though you live and die in vain,
There are souls more sick of pleasure
than you are sick of pain.

(The Aristocrat, St. Chesterton)

Perhaps some readers are tempted to say, well I certainly would never get bored with a life of prolonged pleasures and no other suffering.  But it is not clear why anyone should believe you, if you haven’t yet been put to that particular test.  Others among my readers might think that for precisely this reason, they wouldn’t want to live forever in Heaven, because surely (after a gazillion googleplex years, or if that isn’t enough, try Graham’s number) it would eventually become tedious.

Fortunately, the Christian concept of Heaven—or to use more accurate biblical language, “The New Heaven and New Earth”—isn’t vulnerable to this objection, that any conceivable infinitely prolonged utopia would end up being boring and shallow in the end.  The reason for this is simple: we can’t yet conceive it.  Not until after the Resurrection, when our bodies are made new, and when we see God face-to-face.  As St. Paul writes:

“What no eye has seen,
what no ear has heard,
and what no human mind has conceived”—
the things God has prepared for those who love him.
(1 Cor 2:9)

Since the New Heaven and New Earth isn’t conceivable by us, arguments about “all conceivable utopias” don’t apply to it.

Once again, I am using the word conceivability quite literally, to mean “capable of being conceived by our minds”, not as a cheap synonym for “logically possible”.   If I thought that the New Heaven and New Earth weren’t logically possible, then I obviously I couldn’t also believe that it will come to exist.  But there is no reason why every possible state of affairs must be imaginable by us, especially if that state of affairs is created by a God who exceeds our understanding, and in some way involves union with that God.  It might not even be measured by time, at least not in the exact same way that our current earthly existence is.  It might instead participate somehow in the timeless and eternal life of God, in which case we definitely can’t imagine it.

This is why the Christian hope is not subject to ennui.  Ennui arises when you get what you thought you wanted, but you still aren’t satisfied, and say “Is this all there is to life?”  But since the state of the redeemed is beyond our understanding, and requires going through a radical transformation as a preliminary, nothing in our current life experience contradicts the idea that those who love God can be perfectly happy and fulfilled, once we get there.  Without ever getting bored, or pining for an impossible state of affairs.

If we are eternally happy in God’s kingdom, then in turn justifies all the suffering we had to go through, in order to get into it.  At least, so long as having gone through suffering in some way improves our eternal experience once we get there.  And it’s hard to prove that this can’t be the case, if we don’t know what it is like to see God face-to-face in the first place.

It is easy enough to make the case that our current life is not fully satisfactory.  But if our current life is just a preliminary to another, greater life, then the things that make an earthly life good or bad might well be very different from what we now judge to be the case.  In other words, on the assumption of an afterlife which is radically different from our current one, it is virtually certain that the original idea I defended—that God will know a lot of stuff about goodness that we don’t—is going to be true.

As an analogy, our unborn existence in the womb was a preliminary to a greater life, that mostly couldn’t be imagined by an unborn child, who has no real concept of sight, taste, or open space.  Of course, the unborn child can still hear sounds and music from outside the womb.  Perhaps it is not a coincidence that music is one of the most common ways that religious literature describes the activity of the saints in heaven?

And don’t give me that stale line about “I don’t want to play a harp on a cloud”.  I’ve already said that we can’t imagine it, and cartoon imagery is definitely out of the question.  But even if we take the accusation on its own terms, who says it has to be a harp, if you prefer some other musical instrument?  As musically inclined people know, jamming with some friends on earth can be a transcendental experience, in which we somehow go out of ourselves, and feel as if we are participating in a higher harmony of existence.  A deeper rhythm, which reconciles us to all the sorrow and longing we’ve felt, by making it seem part of a greater and more significant wholeness.

On a religious outlook, this feeling gives us a real insight into the nature of reality.  The New Heaven and the New Earth will be something like that.  Only better.

The Argument From Confusion is Weak

One of the mainstays of atheist rhetoric is the Argument from Evil (AfE), that there exist evils in the world, of such a quality or quantity, that it is irrational to believe in a good Creator.

This post is not directly about the Argument from Evil.  Instead, I want to address the Argument from Confusion (AfC).  This is the argument that no good God—especially one that wants everybody to believe in some specific religion such as Christianity—would allow the extent of human religious confusion that exists in the world.  (Including a plurality of contradictory religions, but also atheism/agnosticism.)  True, Christianity is the largest religion in the world, with over 2 billion people claiming to be Christians of some sort or another, but this is still a minority.  Why doesn’t God reveal himself more clearly?  The AfC claims that this is by itself good reason not to believe in God, or at least a specific religion such as Christianity, etc.

The AfC must of course be distinguished from the general AfE.  The world includes lots of unpleasant stuff (like cancer etc.), and it might be possible to view religious confusion as just a subset of such evil.  It isn’t totally obvious—except on some highly specific religious views about the necessary conditions for salvation—that religious confusion is the worst evil in the world.  So we could treat the AfC as just a special case of the AfE.  Here, I want to instead treat it as a separate argument, and see how it fares when detached from the rest of the AfE.  If you think it is overwhelmingly likely that if God exists there would be no evils whatsoever, then you probably don’t need an AfC.  The AfE suffices.  But let’s suppose that God might have some reason to permit some evil, and allow human life to be difficult in various ways.  Then, let’s ask whether the AfC specifically, changes the situation.

It cannot be denied that the AfC has emotional appeal.  What I want to argue in this post is that the argument actually has very little rational force.  Specifically, it depends crucially on equivocating between different scenarios.  Once we specify the scenario more clearly, we find that there is not much reasonable work for the AfC to do.

Specifically, I want to break the AfC into subcases based on the following:

  1. Is the argument supposed to be about (a) myself and my own confusion?  [By the first person pronouns here, I mean whichever individual is considering the AfC as a possible objection to Christianity.]  Or, is the argument supposed to be about (b) the confusion of other people besides me?
  2. Apart from the AfC (let’s abbreviate this important concept as AFTAFC) would such persons be (i) rationally justified in believing in Christianity, or (ii) not rationally justified?

To be a little more technical about 2, we could adopt a Bayesian framework where people have credences in various propositions such as Christianity (which are subjective probabilities between 0 and 1, based on the evidence available to that person, and their prior sensibilities).

By contrast, let us consider belief in a religion to be a binary (yes/no) decision.  After all, from the point of view of making a decision, I need to either live my life as if God exists (going to Church, praying, asking for forgiveness of sins, taking sacraments etc.) or else not bother to do this stuff.  And the simplest way that credences could be related to beliefs, is that that there exists some threshold probability t, with 0 < t < 1, such that if my credence p satisfies p > t, then rationally I should believe, whereas if p < t, then rationally I should not believe.  I won’t discuss in this post where the threshold t should be set, and why; all that matters is that it exists somewhere.

[We could consider more complicated decision theories, e.g. a range of probability for which either stance is permissible, or belief for-purpose-X but withholding judgment for-purpose-Y.  I think that making things more complicated is unlikely to change the final conclusion much, so let’s keep things simple.]

(a)(i) Let us start by considering the case (a)(i), when the argument is about me and my own confusion, but I nevertheless think I am AFTAFC-justified in believing in Christianity.  By ATAFC-justified, I mean that I would be rationally required to believe when taking into account all arguments except the AfC itself.

(This of course, includes on the one hand the positive arguments for Christianity; on the other hand, all other arguments against Christianity, including that portion of the AfE that doesn’t intersect with the AfC).

Now, what should I conclude in this case?  Unless perhaps I am very close to the threshold credence t—it seems to me that the AfC shouldn’t make much difference at all in this case.  After all, the premise, that God has left me in confusion, isn’t really true if I admit that I otherwise have enough evidence to rationally compel me to believe in Christianity.  In that case, the premise, that I am religiously confused, isn’t sufficiently true to make a convincing argument.

Surely, the AfC isn’t allowed to just exist as a circular self-fulfilling prophecy!  As in: “The AfC is sound because the AfC is sound because the AfC is sound…”  It can only be valid if it is based, non-circularly, on some other reason to disbelieve, other than the AfC itself.  But by stipulation, this is not true in case (a)(i).

The only way I can see that the AfC would still work in this scenario, is if I believe something much stronger about God’s actions, than simply that God should give me enough evidence to rationally warrant belief.  I would need to believe that God is obligated to make me even more certain than this.  In other words, I would need to believe something like the following objection:

Obj 1. God is not allowed to place me in a situation where I have to exercise the virtue of faith.

That is of trusting in God, even in the face of whatever psychological uncertainty remains.  And in this case, everyone should concede that such faith would be a virtue, since we are stipulating that AFTAFC there is sufficient evidence to require me to rationally believe in God.  (In particular, not believing would be morally wrong, again AFTAFC itself.)  But this assumption is quite implausible.  Especially if we are considering a religion like Christianity, which claims that faith is one of the most important theological virtues and something that brings us closer to God.

It follows that we can drop the assumption AFTAFC.  In this scenario, faith is simply rationally justified, and the premise of the AfC is simply invalid.

(a)(ii) Now let us consider the scenario where I think I am not AFTAFC-justified in believing in Christianity.  In this case, the premise of the AfC now appears to be correct, but now it doesn’t seem to be doing any useful work.  That is, by stipulation I already have a good reason not to believe.  Adding the AfC doesn’t change this, so it doesn’t change my decision to disbelieve.

You might think, well it at least gives me an additional reason to disbelieve, so as a result I can be more fully confident in my disbelief.  But a moment’s reflection shows that this isn’t really true in any sense that matters for decision making.  Suppose that on some grounds g, I disbelieve in Christianity, and then I try to take comfort in that fact that even if g ends up being incorrect, the AfC still works.  Well, but if I ever lose my confidence in g, that again will retrospectively invalidate the AfC, putting me back in situation (a)(i)!  After all, I would be discovering that I was wrong, and that I do in fact have sufficient rational evidence to believe.

OK, but could I make an argument about how God should have revealed himself to me at an earlier time in my life, while I still thought that the reasons g were good?  But that won’t fly, unless I believe that:

Obj 2. God is not allowed to wait for the most opportune time to reveal himself to a person.

But this objection also seems highly implausible.  Human life is a chronological thing, in which we develop our capacities progressively over time, starting off as a baby who can hardly do anything.  And anyone who eventually comes into a relationship with God, has by definition resolved their confusion sufficiently to obtain this relationship.  See the discussion here on Just Thomism (especially the 1st comment by St. Brandon).

Furthermore, if salvation implies that we get to live forever with God in the next life, then we get this benefit even if we have a deathbed conversion.  Furthermore, the period of time when we were living apart from God, might well have served some sort of educational or other purpose—and by stipulation, it has culminated in coming to see that (AFTAFC) it is rational to believe in God.  So in this case again, the AfC should have very little force.

Because of this chronological consideration, I cannot even take the AfC as an additional reason to think it is unlikely that my grounds g for disbelieving in God will later be removed by divine action!  Because, if they are removed, that would retrospectively invalidate the AfC, making the scenario no less plausible than it would have been otherwise.

Now when we turn to case (b), a new problem presents itself.  Specifically, it is very hard for us to know the spiritual state of another human being.  For me to look at another person and judge them by saying Deep down, this person secretly knows that God exists but he is intellectually dishonest, and thus suppresses the truth in his heart vs. This other person is totally honest and not resistant to God’s grace, is something very difficult for human beings to know (except perhaps in a few, very rare cases, where the behavior of the other person makes it totally obvious).   And Christianity itself, at the very least strongly discourages us from judging other people in this way.  As if we ourselves could look into their hearts the way that God can.

Furthermore, Christianity also says that we are all sinners, making it clear that no human but Jesus was completely non-resistant to God’s grace.  So, the category of human adults who are totally non-resistant to God’s grace is presumably the empty set.

Nevertheless, we can still abstractly consider the 2 possible cases:

(b)(i) The argument involves other people, and they are rationally obliged to believe in God—they just irrationally (and perhaps culpably) don’t do so.  This case is thus resolved the same way as (a)(i).  By definition these people aren’t sufficiently confused here, they are making a willful decision not to believe in God even though they have enough evidence.  Only if you buy something like Obj 1, is the AfC convincing in this case.

To be sure, this isn’t the end of the story for people in this class.  “All have sinned and fall short of the glory of God” (Rom 3:23), and resisting grace is indeed one of the ways that this sin manifests, both in the lives of non-Christians and Christians.  But, “Christ came into the world to save sinners” (1 Tim 1:15).  Most Christians have stories about how once they were once running away from God, but God came and saved them anyway.

So, I am not saying that all such individuals will be condemned in the end.  My point is only that, by the definition of class (b)(i), their present disbelief is their own fault and choice.  So it has an adequate moral explanation, in terms of human freedom.

It is certainly true that God could have appeared with such dramatic and undeniable miracles so as to force everyone to believe.  But apparently he doesn’t (yet) want to do that.  St. Pascal wrote somewhere that God,

…wishing to appear openly to those who seek him with all their heart, and hidden from those who shun him with all their heart, he has qualified our knowledge of him by giving signs which can be seen by those who seek him and not by those who do not. There is enough light for those who desire only to see, and enough darkness for those of a contrary disposition.

Pascal thought that God hid himself in order to condemn those who were unworthy of his mercy.  But in my view, on the contrary, God hiding himself from those who don’t want to believe in him is itself an act of mercy and compassion.

If God revealed his holiness to us with total clarity, our only choices would be to accept him as he is, or rebel like Satan and become utterly wicked.  But instead God gives us enough space that we don’t have to believe, in this life.  (The same applies, of course, to the various ways in which Christians are still faithless—the point here isn’t just about atheists.)  This allows even atheists to still seek out a good life in earthly terms, one that still allows for the pursuit of ideals like truth and justice and benevolence.  Perhaps eventually, some day, they will come to realize how these qualities point to God.  But in the meantime, they don’t have to think of themselves as rebels defying God.  Instead they can live what they think of as a normal human life, in friendship with other people, trying to follow whatever they perceive as good.

So, if God gives to people who really don’t want to believe in him, sufficient space to live their lives without such belief, I don’t feel that such people are in a position to complain.  They are getting what they wanted!  And—conditional on them not wanting to believe—it is quite plausibly spiritually better for them than the alternative (being forced to believe by overwhelming evidence) would be, as I don’t think this is the sort of belief that God is looking for.

(b)(ii) The argument involves other people, and they do not in fact have sufficient evidence to rationally believe in God.

Except in some cases involving young children, and/or people-groups who have never heard the gospel, it is difficult to know for sure who belongs to this category.  But I don’t doubt that there are some people in it.

A person might then without logical absurdity say, well I myself have AFTAFC-justified belief, but I see that other people do not have enough evidence to believe.  And all things considered, I think that tells against Christianity enough that—by taking into consideration the AfC—in the end, I don’t believe.  Thus, here at last we have a case where the AfC could logically have some force.

But I don’t think it is a lot of force.  The reason is simple: how are we in a position know that God will not form a saving relationship with such persons at some time in the future?  If we have good reason to think a benevolent God would always do so, why then that is a good argument that he will.  We simply aren’t in a position to know that he won’t.  If the main obstruction to a person’s relationship with God, is simply a lack of evidence, then we have every reason to believe that (when Christ eventually makes his reign obvious, through his Second Coming in glory) this lack will eventually be remedied.

So again, this is only a problem if we think that 1) there are intellectually honest people who sincerely would want to seek God, but 2) they do not have enough evidence to rationally believe, and yet 3) God will never reach out to them in the future.  I can see how we might come to believe (1) or even (2) about someone specific, but how could we ever come to be confident in (3), which involves a blanket statement about all future time?

We might be in such a position to know (3) with high probability, if we additionally subscribe to the following doctrines about salvation, commonly held by many Evangelicals:

Doct I. It  is impossible for any adult to be saved, without an explicit and conscious faith in Christ, of a sort that (apart from rare cases, like e.g. last-minute deathbed conversions) is usually clearly observable from the outside.

Doct II. This faith must come before death; there is no possible chance to be saved after death.  All those who die without such faith necessarily go to Hell.

I do, in fact, concede that doctrines (I) and (II) would together make the AfC very concerning, as it does seem to be an empirical fact that the majority of people on Earth are not saved if (I) and (II) are the criteria.  But I don’t believe that the Bible in fact teaches these doctrines, when it is properly understood.

In particular, (I) implies that we are often in a position to negatively judge the spiritual state of (those who are not in any obvious way) Christians.  But the Bible specifically says we aren’t in a good position to judge other people’s hearts: “Who are you to judge another man’s servant?  By his own master he will stand or fall.” (Romans 14:4).  In some cases I think we can be reasonably confident in a positive view of another Christian’s salvation, but in this life I don’t think we can ever look at a non-Christian and say, God has given up on this person.

Secondly, there is surprisingly little support for (II) in the Bible, and some passages (such as 1 Peter 3:18-4:6) appear to say the opposite.

My view is that, while salvation does come through faith in Christ, we should reject (I) and (II) in the specific forms that they are stated above.  Then it seems like the AfC is only a major concern if we have something like the following objection:

Obj 3.  God has to reveal himself to everyone (of a given generation, I suppose) at the same time.  He isn’t allowed to reveal himself to humans in some particular order, so that some persons have sufficient reason to believe before other persons do.

But I also don’t see a good reason to subscribe to this.  Why should it be true?  Revealing himself to some people before others, would be fully compatible even with a Universalist scenario where all are eventually saved!  (Indeed, the very notion of “generations” already implies that some people come to God before others are even born.)

It will be noted that all three of Obj 1-3 involve thinking we know better than God how to construct a world, and that he is obligated to conform to our expectations.  But a God who has to conform to our expectations isn’t a God at all.   In fact, the notion of a crucified Messiah, the central paradox of Christianity, would not even be possible in a world with no religious confusion!  If there were no such thing as religious confusion, there could be no Christianity!

Furthermore, by revealing himself first to the prophets and apostles, who in turn evangelize others, God makes Christians into a community (the Church).  This is a great good, that would not so obviously occur if we all received our understanding from God in a direct way from heaven, that was totally disconnected with the witness of others.

Speaking of witnessing, if it is our Christian responsibility to share the good news, and make it credible by our lives, then it seems inevitable that our (many) failures to do so will result there being some people who don’t yet have good reasons to believe.  You could imagine God making a world where our actions couldn’t affect anyone else spiritually, but I don’t think such a world would be better than the one we live in.  (Indeed it would be less of a “world”, in the sense of a system of interacting persons and things…)

Again, this is not the end of the story.  But it is a reason for things not to be 100% clear right here and now.

To summarize: If there is enough evidence for me to rationally believe, the Argument from Confusion is unsound and thus should be rejected.  But if there isn’t enough evidence for me to rationally believe, the argument is redundant with my other reasons to disbelieve, and thus serves no purpose.

Or suppose I think there is enough evidence for me, but not enough evidence for other people.  In this case, the Argument from Confusion only speaks against Christianity if I put myself in a role of a judge and say that I know who is intellectually honest, and I also put myself in the role of a prophet and say that I know that God will nevertheless reject such people.  But in fact, I am not in a good position to know that God does indeed ultimately reject such people!  Instead, I should pay attention to the insight that I do have, and follow it as best I can.  Without getting sidetracked by saying to God: “What about this other person?”  Why should God reveal to me his plans about somebody else?  What matters is if I myself have enough light to come to Christ.

Therefore, in none of these configurations is the AfC particularly convincing.  And of course, if the subcases (a) and (b) are unconvincing when considered separately, they will also be unconvincing when combined together into a single argument.