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{"id":3133,"date":"2014-12-15T15:10:57","date_gmt":"2014-12-15T22:10:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/?p=3133"},"modified":"2015-09-01T19:43:19","modified_gmt":"2015-09-02T02:43:19","slug":"fundamental-reality-iii-chains-parsimony-and-magic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/fundamental-reality-iii-chains-parsimony-and-magic\/","title":{"rendered":"Fundamental Reality III: Chains, Parsimony, and Magic"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Some optimistic folks hope that Science will eventually <a title=\"Fundamental Reality II: Causes and Explanations\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/fundamental-reality-ii-causes-and-explanations\/\">explain<\/a> everything about the world.\u00a0 But this hope seems absurd in light of the fact that explanations always involve presuppositions.\u00a0 The structure of explanation is always that we explain one thing <strong><em>A<\/em><\/strong> in terms of some set of other things <strong><em>B<\/em><\/strong>, <strong><em>C<\/em><\/strong>, <strong><em>D<\/em><\/strong>&#8230; which exist, or which have happened.\u00a0 (Let&#8217;s not be too particular about what we mean by \u201cthings\u201d here, whether \u201cobjects\u201d, \u201cevents\u201d or what&#8230;)\u00a0 One could then ask what is the explanation of <strong><em>B<\/em><\/strong> or <strong><em>C<\/em><\/strong> or <strong><em>D<\/em><\/strong>, and these things will in turn typically have explanations in terms of other things.\u00a0 This gives us various types of explanatory series, and we can ask whether these terminate in some type of <em>ultimate <\/em>explanation.<\/p>\n<p>So it seems that the best we could possibly do is to have one thing or principle whose existence is unexplained, and then use that to explain everything else.\u00a0 That one thing would then have no other explanation outside of itself.\u00a0 However, we can still evaluate how plausible it is that it should exist, based on various considerations of <a title=\"Pillar of Science II: Elegant Hypotheses\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/pillar-of-science-ii-elegent-hypotheses\/\">parsimony<\/a>.\u00a0 We can ask:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Is this entity the type of thing where it would make sense for it to just exist on its own?\u00a0 Or is it the sort of thing that would more naturally be explained by reference to something else?<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">.<\/span><\/li>\n<li>Is this the simplest conception of fundamental reality, or can we get away with a simpler one? (Here I am using simple in the sense of Occam&#8217;s razor, although if there were really just one unexplained entity, not composed of parts, it would also be simple in the Medieval Scholastic sense of being non-composite.)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>You might notice that the people of a scientific bent tend to focus exclusively on the second question, while traditional metaphysics focuses more on the first question.\u00a0 In my view both questions are relevant.<\/p>\n<p>I said that explaining everything in terms of one thing is the <em>best<\/em> we can do.\u00a0 We might have to settle for less, such as a plurality (hopefully small) of unexplained fundamental principles.\u00a0 However, that would not only be more complicated, it would also raise questions about what is it that joins these (supposedly separate) principles together.\u00a0 We might therefore reasonably hope that the principles in question would at least have some type of internal <em>unity<\/em>, without being too dogmatic at this stage about what <em>kind<\/em> of unity we are looking for.<\/p>\n<p>Some people might propose that the chain of explanations extends backwards forever in an infinite chain.\u00a0 Thus nothing has any ultimate explanation, but rather each one is explained by the thing before it, and so on.\u00a0 Alternatively one could have the explanations arranged in a circle, which is similar to the infinite regress for what I am about to say.<\/p>\n<p>The chain of explanations wouldn&#8217;t necessarily have to be embedded in any kind of temporal sequence, but if it <em>were<\/em>, one would have to have a universe which is eternal to the past.\u00a0 Now there are physics problems with trying to make a compelling physical model along these lines, with neither a geometrical nor a thermodynamic type of beginning.\u00a0 But here I&#8217;m trying to explore more general metaphysical considerations, of the sort that are accessible from the nearest <a title=\"Fundamental Reality I: Prologue, or Why Even Bother?\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/fundamental-reality-i-prologue-or-why-even-bother\/\">armchair<\/a>, so I&#8217;ll try to appeal to intuition instead of esoteric quantum cosmology considerations, for which the <a title=\"Did the Universe Begin? X: Recapitulation\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/did-the-universe-begin-x-recap\/\">evidence of a beginning is mixed<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Personally, I find an infinite regress, with nothing more behind it, rather unsatisfactory.\u00a0 It is not that I think there is any logical inconsistency in a universe which extends backwards in time forever.\u00a0 There isn&#8217;t.\u00a0 The universe might well work that way.\u00a0 But I feel like such a chain of explanations wouldn&#8217;t actually explain <em>anything<\/em> in the chain properly.\u00a0 For example, in the \u201c<a title=\"Did the Universe Begin? V: The Ordinary Second Law\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/did-the-universe-begin-v-the-ordinary-second-law\/\">ekpyrotic<\/a>\u201d scenario where the universe involves an eternal bouncing back and forth of two membranes, it wouldn&#8217;t tell us why there are two membranes rather than one or four.\u00a0 It would just boil down to saying that: things just are the way they are because they are the way they are.\u00a0 Of course, if there were some additional extra explanation <em>outside of time <\/em>which <a title=\"Fuzzing into existence\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/fuzzing-into-existence\/\">somehow determined<\/a> that there had to be two membranes, that would be different, and would make me much more satisfied with a time that goes back forever.<\/p>\n<p>Somebody might retort that explaining everything in terms of one unexplained thing is just as bad in that it also has something which \u201cjust is the way it is\u201d.\u00a0 But at least in that case it there&#8217;s only <em>one <\/em>thing like that, not a whole chain of things.\u00a0 I find in myself an intellectual preference for building explanations on a foundation.\u00a0 Axiomatic reasoning is usually regarded as more intellectually respectable than circular reasoning.\u00a0 If we deduce things from axioms, those axioms can be appreciated and evaluated.\u00a0 Whereas if we deduce things from a chain going back to infinity, I feel that the entire system is unsupported in a vicious way.\u00a0 So I&#8217;m fine with time going back to infinity, but only if there is something which transcends time which <em>makes <\/em>time do that.\u00a0 Of course, Nature does not necessarily have to correspond to my intuitions, but I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s irrational to believe that at least <em>some<\/em> of our intuitions give us rational guidance about how the universe should work.\u00a0 Without some rational intuitions leading us to seek explanations, Science couldn&#8217;t even get off the ground.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, there are chains of explanation which do <em>not<\/em> go further and further back into the past, and these chains cannot be accounted for simply by postulating an infinite past.\u00a0 We might also try to explain why the present-day dynamical processes of nature occur in the way that they do.\u00a0 For example, suppose I want to know why a balloon attracts hair.\u00a0 So I say it is because they have opposite electrical charges, which are attracted to each other with an inverse square law.\u00a0 Well, why is that?\u00a0 Well, because each charge has electric field lines coming out of it.\u00a0 Why is that?\u00a0 Because <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Gauss%27s_law\">Gauss&#8217;s equation<\/a> said it had to happen that way.\u00a0 Why is that?\u00a0 It seems the answer must eventually be: it happens by MAGIC.<\/p>\n<p>Some would say that this is obscurantism and that things happen because of the Laws of Nature.\u00a0 But we have to remember that the phrase \u201cLaws of Nature\u201d is really a stand-in for whatever mysterious aspect of reality causes things to obey these Laws of Nature. When the phrase was first coined, the word \u201claw\u201d was a metaphor which was taken to imply the presence of a Legislator.\u00a0 St. Chesterton suggests that the rational agnostic should instead use a different type of terminology, borrowed from fairy tales:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>In fairyland we avoid the word &#8220;law&#8221;; but in the land of science they are singularly fond of it.\u00a0 Thus they will call some interesting conjecture about how forgotten folks pronounced the alphabet, Grimm&#8217;s Law.\u00a0 But Grimm&#8217;s Law is far less intellectual than Grimm&#8217;s Fairy Tales.\u00a0 The tales are, at any rate, certainly tales; while the law is not a law.\u00a0 A law implies that we know the nature of the generalization and enactment; not merely that we have noticed some of the effects.\u00a0 If there is a law that pick-pockets shall go to prison, it implies that there is an imaginable mental connection between the idea of prison and the idea of picking pockets.\u00a0 And we know what the idea is.\u00a0 We can say why we take liberty from a man who takes liberties.\u00a0 But we cannot say why an egg can turn into a chicken any more than we can say why a bear could turn into a fairy prince.\u00a0 As <em>ideas<\/em>, the egg and the chicken are further off from each other than the bear and the prince; for no egg in itself suggests a chicken, whereas some princes do suggest bears.\u00a0 Granted, then, that certain transformations do happen, it is essential that we should regard them in the philosophic manner of fairy tales, not in the unphilosophic manner of science and the &#8220;Laws of Nature.&#8221;\u00a0 When we are asked why eggs turn to birds or fruits fall in autumn, we must answer exactly as the fairy godmother would answer if Cinderella asked her why mice turned to horses or her clothes fell from her at twelve o&#8217;clock.\u00a0 We must answer that it is <em>magic<\/em>.\u00a0 It is not a &#8220;law,&#8221; for we do not understand its general formula.\u00a0 It is not a necessity, for though we can count on it happening practically, we have no right to say that it must always happen.\u00a0 It is no argument for unalterable law (as Huxley fancied) that we count on the ordinary course of things.\u00a0 We do not count on it; we bet on it.\u00a0 We risk the remote possibility of a miracle as we do that of a poisoned pancake or a world-destroying comet.\u00a0 We leave it out of account, not because it is a miracle, and therefore an impossibility, but because it is a miracle, and therefore an exception.\u00a0 All the terms used in the science books, &#8220;law,&#8221; &#8220;necessity,&#8221; &#8220;order,&#8221; &#8220;tendency,&#8221; and so on, are really unintellectual, because they assume an inner synthesis, which we do not possess.\u00a0 The only words that ever satisfied me as describing Nature are the terms used in the fairy books, &#8220;charm,&#8221; &#8220;spell,&#8221; &#8220;enchantment.&#8221;\u00a0 They express the arbitrariness of the fact and its mystery. A tree grows fruit because it is a <em>magic<\/em> tree.\u00a0 Water runs downhill because it is bewitched.\u00a0 The sun shines because it is bewitched.<\/p>\n<p>I deny altogether that this is fantastic or even mystical.\u00a0 We may have some mysticism later on; but this fairy-tale language about things is simply rational and agnostic.\u00a0 It is the only way I can express in words my clear and definite perception that one thing is quite distinct from another; that there is no logical connection between flying and laying eggs.\u00a0 It is the man who talks about &#8220;a law&#8221; that he has never seen who is the mystic.<br \/>\n(<em>Orthodoxy<\/em>, &#8220;The Ethics of Elfland&#8221;).<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Let no one think that St. Chesterton said this only because he did not understand the particular explanations given by Modern Science.\u00a0 He didn&#8217;t, but it doesn&#8217;t make any difference, since you come to the same place in the end no matter what.\u00a0 No matter how many mediators we put in between the hair and the balloon\u2014even if there is a continuum of mediating entities\u2014at some point we need to postulate some sort of fundamental interaction not explained through intermediaries.<\/p>\n<p>If we ask why these direct interactions occur, we either have to say <em>for no reason at all <\/em>(in which case it is a puzzle why things happen so consistently, since every single instance of an interaction would be a quite separate unexplained occurrence) or else to say that there is some common force or principle: either God or else some other term more acceptable to atheists.\u00a0 We can call the underlying principle a \u201cLaw\u201d if we want to (for lack of better language) but we should be aware that the word doesn&#8217;t really explain why things <em>had<\/em> to be this way.<\/p>\n<p>So in what follows, let&#8217;s suppose that the explanations terminate on one or more unexplained entities, whether laws of physics, divinities or something else.\u00a0 Because of the uncertainty about what these things actually are, I am not going to impose a rigid grammar on them, but will freely alternative between different terms.\u00a0 I don&#8217;t mean to sneak in any substantive assumptions by calling them \u201cthings\u201d, \u201centities\u201d, \u201cprinciples\u201d, \u201crules\u201d, \u201cbeings\u201d, or whatever.<\/p>\n<p>Still, they must in some sense <em>exist<\/em>, or they couldn&#8217;t do any work explaining anything else.\u00a0 They are not merely logical abstractions, since logical abstractions can&#8217;t <em>do<\/em> anything, they can only <em>describe<\/em> things.\u00a0 Some people would say that it&#8217;s a category error to say that laws can do anything, that laws merely describe regularities in Nature, but don&#8217;t cause them to exist.\u00a0 Well, if that happens to be true, then (contra Hume) something <em>else<\/em> must cause those regularities to keep occurring, otherwise it would just be a mighty coincidence that the regularities keep on happening.<\/p>\n<p>In the following reflections I will try to say more about what this \u201csomething\u201d might be.\u00a0 I&#8217;m not trying to force a prematurely theological conclusion here.\u00a0 I&#8217;m reasonably confident that any rational, complete worldview must<em> <\/em>have some set of fundamental entities or explanations which play the explanatory <em>role <\/em>that God does in Theism, but it is a quite separate question whether the thing(s) that fill that role have to be at all like the traditional conception of God.\u00a0 This is a question which we will eventually need to face square-on, but first let&#8217;s try to figure out some properties that any fundamental entities would have to have, no matter whether they are conceived of along Naturalist or Supernaturalist lines.<\/p>\n<p><em>Next: <a title=\"Fundamental Reality IV: Necessity, Eternity, and Power\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/fundamental-reality-iv-necessity-eternity-and-power\/\">Necessity, Eternity, and Power<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Some optimistic folks hope that Science will eventually explain everything about the world.\u00a0 But this hope seems absurd in light of the fact that explanations always involve presuppositions.\u00a0 The structure of explanation is always that we explain one thing A &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/fundamental-reality-iii-chains-parsimony-and-magic\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3133","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-metaphysics","category-theological-method"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3133","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3133"}],"version-history":[{"count":22,"href":"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3133\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4035,"href":"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3133\/revisions\/4035"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3133"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3133"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.wall.org\/~aron\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3133"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}